I refer to "PAP Gerrymandering in GE2016" Click on http://therealsingapore.com/content/pap-gerrymandering-again-ge-2016
As opposition politicians do their walkabouts and house visits, some residents have asked me that they have spotted NSP in Ang Mo Kio and Reform Party again in Ang Mo Kio and are spilt on who to choose.
As opposition voices grow and expand, it is very likely that there will be 2 or more opposition parties competing with each other against PAP. Given that choice, how do you think we should do to avoid vote splitting and take down PAP?
Below is my analysis. Feel free to disagree or input your thoughts.
1) For opposition parties which scored above 40% of the votes in GE2011, I would plea to any opposition parties to avoid three or four cornered fight in GRC or SMC.
Many residents have GE2011 still fresh in their mind and if WP were to suddenly contest with NSP's Nicole Seah in Marine Parade GRC, voters will probably be spilt with WP and NSP and PAP will be gloating away.
If this is inevitable, voters should stick to their original opposition party which contested in GE2011. Eg, the Punggol East by-election.
Having 40% of the votes and above means a potential that PAP can be unseated. For example, If WP suddenly were to contest with NSP again in Tampines GRC, voters should still pledge their votes with NSP which contested in GE2011 even if WP fields a strong team.
2) For GRCs scoring 40% of the votes and below, it will be beneficial to have 3 or 4 cornered fights. I would think that since the votes are already so low, having 3 opposition parties would throw PAP off-balance as voters will scramble to choose which one and will thus give PAP a lower mandate. It may not be enough to unseat PAP but at least it will give PAP a lower mandate.
Some punters said that there are many new citizens who stay in the West and will still vote for PAP. It is wise for opposition parties to send their strongest candidates in the eastern part and northern part and if there is any 'excess' of weaker candidates, they should be delegated to the West and do a three or four cornered fight to distract PAP.
Is my argument sound? But let's hope that there's no three cornered fight in GE2016.
There must be opposition unity and stop politicking and focus our efforts in taking down PAP.
CJ
TRS Contributor